Carbubble Predicts 2008 Election exactly (almost)

McCain wins Missouri; State's streak over!

(CNN) – It's taken more than two weeks, but we finally have a winner in Missouri.

Fifteen days after Election Day, Republican Sen. John McCain has narrowly edged out President-elect Barack Obama in the state, according to CNN's review of the latest unofficial vote totals from the Missouri Secretary of State. This resolves the final outstanding contest of the 2008 presidential race.

According to the unofficial results, McCain won the state by 3,632 votes . The unofficial count shows McCain with 1,445,812 votes, or 49.4 percent, and Obama with 1,442,180 votes, or 49.3 percent.

With Missouri's 11 electoral votes in Senator McCain's column, the final count is 365 for Obama and 173 for McCain.

********************************************************

I predicted every single state correctly and I only missed that Obama would carry Omaha's 1 electoral vote. Not bad!

More Presidential Predictions 2008

Cha-Ching! Gimme dat dollar!

No congrats on predicting every single state correctly? Not even a "Not bad"? Oh well...

Here are my new predictions:

Sec. of State - Hillary Clinton
Sec. of Defense Chuck Hagel (ex GOP senator)
Sec. of Treasury - John Corzine (Gov of NJ and ex Goldman Sachs)
Sec. of Homeland Security - Tim Roemer - Wrong
Sec. of Energy - Steve Westly (eBay founder)
Attorney General - Janet Napolitano (AZ Gov) - Wrong, going to be Homeland Security
Sec. of Education - Caroline Kennedy

Bizzaro Predictions:

Sec. of State - Andrew "Dice" Clay (least diplomatic)
Sec. of Defense (after Gates leaves) - Sarah Silverman (most offensive)
Sec. of Treasury - Paris Hilton (knows all about spending $$$)
Sec. of Homeland Security - Macaulay Culkin (Home Alone kid)
Sec. of Energy - Sarah Palin (Drill, Baby, Drill)
Attorney General - Adam "Pacman" Jones (Make it Rain)

Election Day 2008 - Morning

I slept really well last night, so my confidence is high for today's vote. I repeat, Confidence is High!

This has been a very long election. It all started for me in June 2006 when I bet Ken a dollar that neither McCain or Hillary would be the next Prez.

I had no idea that I would become emotionally involved with this election. Even Dan Rather said that 2008 is the most important and exciting election he's seen and he started covering elections in 1952 when I was just barely born.

I've made a lot of predictions about this election, so we'll see in about 6 hours if I've been right. My newest predictions is that at least one state back east will have such overwhelming turnout and/or problems that they will have to delay the polls closing.

My final prediction is 364 Obama to 174 McCain.

I had a couple of other thoughts lately about Gov. Sarah Palin, but now they seem trivial. I did like that McCain's boys are calling her a "whack job", a "diva", an "unscripted robot" or a "scripted ignoramus". She's just a Mavericky Rogue. Let Sarah be Sarah in 2012! Like she said: "What do I have to lose?"

I used the excellent internet tools that the Obama campaign had and personally raised over $1000 for the campaign and I made phone calls to undecided voters in New Mexico. I sent out a lot of information to my co-workers at Wind River about the debates and how to register. I inspired someone to vote early and last weekend he drove to Reno NV and knocked on 100 doors canvasing in a latino neighborhood and found that a lot of the undecided people just didn't know where their polling place was and how to vote because it was their first time.

I feel really good about the contribution I played and I'm very hopeful for the future. That's all for now.

2008 Election Results

Batman vs. The Penguin: The Debate

McCain (played by Penguin): Friends and fellow citizens, there will be no mudslinging in this campaign. I intend to stick to the issues. What are the issues? There is only one! Obama. Who is he? I suggest that he is dangerous. Why else does he conceal his past? Would you think about that for a moment, my friends? Who is he with? Criminals, that's who! Hobnobbing with crooks.

Spin room: McCain is as crooked as a warped Shillelagh

More advice for Barack Obama & Joe Biden

I think that Senator McCain is chicken and now he's hiding behind his wife's & running mate's skirts while they spout disgraceful statements.

I think you should add disgraceful & dishonorable to erratic as a constant theme.

I think that Senators Biden & Obama should do back to back "full ginsburgs" and talk on all 5 sunday morning news shows and challenge the opponents. Answer all the questions and then ask why McCain & Palin are too scared to answer questions. Why would a fighter pilot and moose hunter be scared?

McCain keeps asking "who is the real Obama?". If he knew how to use a computer, he could Google "obama" and discover that he's been running for President for 20 months, talking to 100's of thousands of American citizens (not prisoners) and most people do know who Barack Obama is. I'll bet that McCain has a VCR in each of his many houses and they all blink 12:00.

Open Letter to Senator Obama - Debate ideas

My Presidential prediction of Obama getting 300+ electoral votes still stands and it's getting better and better every day.

Here is some advice I've sent to the Obama campaign:

1. Senator Obama, I noticed that you did mention McCain not wanting to talk with the PM of Spain, but you didn't press it and let him off the hook. I think you should make him answer that question personally and find out why he would blow off a member of NATO, who's suffered a lot at the hand of terrorists.
2. At the next debate, I think you should bring up this - at the Friday debate, McCain said many times how he was a fighter, fighting for this and fighting for that, but every example he named, he didn't win or persuade anybody, just like when he suspended his campaign and claimed to convince the House GOP to pass the $700 Billion bailout bill.... He is not a winner, he just likes to fight.
3. When he starts up again with his "Senator Obama doesn't understand", you should throw that back in his face also. Say, the American people can see me in the last debate and this debate understanding all the issues we've been discussing and because I don't agree with your position doesn't mean I don't understand it and reject it as being wrong, wrong, wrong. (remember the rule of 3 - if you say something 3 times, people will really hear it and remember it - never go over 3)...
4. If you really want to get under his skin, ask him why he considers himself a Maverick. When he starts talking about all the issues he's disagreed on with his party, ask him if the Republicans are just plain wrong that often? If he's working with Democrats so much, then it's a matter of fact that the Democrats have the better ideas on these issues.

As they said in the olde days: "Nail him to the hull".

P.S. My personal opinion: Americans are not going to elect a grumpy, cranky, dice-throwing, erratic 72 year old fighter pilot to be the next President. When I heard about him being a big gambler at the Indian casino craps table and that he crashed at least 2 planes before he was shot down, that explains a lot.

DIRECTV is messing up my enjoyment of the NFL Season

September 11, 2008
Chase Carey
DIRECTV
P.O. Box 6550
Greenwood Village, CO 80155-6550

Dear Mr. Carey,

I've been a DIRECTV customer since 2001. In the last seven years, I’ve just gotten the NFL Sunday Ticket package by itself, without any base package. My house is wired so the satellite dish feed only goes to the living room and the rest of my house is wired for cable TV, which I get from Comcast. Every year, I’ve gotten automatically renewed with no problems. I really enjoy watching all the different games.

When I got my first NFL bill this year, which was over 2 months before the NFL season starts, I was out of work and thought I was going to lose my house and paying for the NFL package 2 months in the future just didn't seem like a good idea when I wouldn't have any satellite dish in my future. As you can imagine, I was under a lot of stress. When I cancelled, I wasn’t told that there were any consequences if I wanted to sign up again the future. When I called ADT about cancelling my alarm service, they told me there was going to be a new start up fee and they gave me an option for a lower price, which I could afford.

About a week after I canceled, I got a new job and I won't be losing my house and I'm really going to miss watching all the NFL games, but I'm not going to pay for a 200% increase over what I've been paying in the past, which is what it works out to if I have to get a base package along with the NFL Sunday Ticket.

I was told there is no way to go back to my NFL Sunday Ticket only plan. I find it hard to believe that DIRECTV would treat a long time loyal customer this way. I even found out by checking online that if you complain to the right customer service agent, you can get the SUPERFAN package added for free and that the price had gone down. I paid 5 payments of $45.80 last year and apparently it’s down to $41 something.

I would like to complain directly about Natalie D. #400866. She emailed me on 9/6 and asked for my phone number and said she would call me, but I was never called.

I’m going to cc the NFL Commissioner, Roger Goodell and ask him to not renew your exclusive contract when it expires. Maybe he can find a company that treats its customers better. I don’t expect anything, but maybe you’ll treat the next customer in a similar situation with a better understanding.

McCain & Palin are no "Mavericks"

A Straw Man Argument is an informal fallacy based on misrepresentation of an opponent's position. To "set up a straw man" or "set up a straw man argument" is to describe a position that superficially resembles an opponent's actual view but is easier to refute, then attribute that position to the opponent (for example, deliberately overstating the opponent's position).

Click on the link below for the new Obama ad countering the McCain ad that called him & Gov. Palin so-called "Mavericks". The GOP is running a straw man campaign where they avoid the issues (McCain's campaign manager declared the election won't be about the issues) and use sarcasm and false claims to move the polls. McCain has moved ahead in some polls, but still all the polls are within the margin of error.

No Mavericks Video

So far, I've raised $500 for Obama. My personal goal is $1000 before my Birthday on October 15th, which is the date of the final Presidential Debate.

September 26, 2008: Presidential debate with domestic policy focus, University of Mississippi, Oxford, MS
October 2, 2008: Vice Presidential debate, Washington University, St. Louis, MO
October 7, 2008: Presidential debate in a town hall format, Belmont University, Nashville, TN
October 15, 2008:Presidential debate with foreign policy focus, Hofstra University, Hempstead, NY

Please donate if you can and pass this onto to your friends.

TLC's Obama Fundraising Page

Thanks to everyone.

P.S. Here is the real Maverick.

Why pick Palin?

Why not pick Palin? As Flush Lintball said: "She's a babe." That's a good a reason as any, I suppose.

McLame realized that he was going to lose big by picking boring losers like Pawlenty or Mitt and he want to shake things up by picking Liebermann, but Flush Lintball and other big shot right wingers told him he couldn't be that much of a Maverick, so he was stuck with Palin as the only big deal that would satisfy his masters.

Maybe their thinking was that picking a woman would help, but remember that Mondale tried this same gambit and look what happened to him.

Palin seems like a very fine woman, mother and Governor for Alaska, but when the flacks start saying that she's got foreign policy experience because Alaska is next to Russia and that she's tough because she sold the state plane on eBay and that she's a big reformer because she said no to the infamous "Bridge to Nowhere", when in 2006 when she was running for Governor, she was for it and all the other millions of dollars of earmarks that Alaska loves (Alaska gets $300 in earmark cash for each person because the state is so big, but with a population of a congressional district in a more populous state), it just becomes silly.

Watch this CNN interview with McCain spokesman, Tucker "Mr. Talking Points" Bounds and watch how silly it gets the harder he tries not to answer any of the actual questions. This interview caused McCain to cancel an appearance on the Larry King show.

In the end, picking Palin won't make any difference in the 2008 election and my prediction of Obama winning 300+ electoral votes still stands.

Zeppelin Rides again

My Great Grandfather, Carl Jansen, was born in Frederickshafen Germany, home of Count von Zeppelin and I thought I was going to have to travel to Germany to take a Zeppelin ride and I just found out that a Zeppelin is coming to the Bay Area and be ready to take tourist rides in Fall 2008. I am ready to go!

The fourth and latest model of Zeppelin is now in London, captivating tourists with a bird’s eye view of the city before the airship begins a slow journey on a cargo ship to its future home in the San Francisco Bay Area. There, its new owners, Airship Ventures, intend for it to ferry tourists.

Oxen, Rats & Paris Hilton

McCain - Aug 29, 1936 - Year of the Rat: Manipulative, vindictive, mendacious, venal, selfish, obstinate, critical, over-ambitious, ruthless, intolerant, scheming.

Obama - Aug 4, 1961 - Year of the Ox: Dependable, calm, methodical, patient, hardworking, ambitious, conventional, steady, modest, logical, resolute, tenacious.

Why does Paris Hilton make so much sense? "Thanks for the endorsement, white haired dude."

See more Paris Hilton videos at Funny or Die

McToast - 2008 Presidential Prediction Update

On April 12, 2007, I predicted that Mitt Romney was "toast" and today I'm predicting that the tipping point in the 2008 Presidential Election has happened.

Check out the photo of McCain & Prez Bush 41 in the old folks home golf cart. The two old geezers are heading for the early bird dinner at 4:30. I predict that McCain will carry the Boca Raton crowd. He's their kind of guy!

While Barack Obama draws 200,000 Germans for a speech in Berlin, old man McCain visits Schmidt's Sausage Haus and gums some brautwurst. Located in the German Village section of Columbus, Ohio, the classic restaurant is owned by 58-year-old Geoff Schmidt, the fourth Schmidt to offer what his to go menu claims is "The Best of the Wurst!"


McCain's campaign has "Jumped The Shark" and as VP Deadeye Dick Cheney would say: "Major league big time!".

Jumping the shark is a colloquialism used by U.S. TV critics and fans to denote the point in a TV or movie series at which the characters or plot veer into a ridiculous, out-of-the-ordinary storyline. Shows that have "jumped the shark" are typically deemed to have passed their peak, since they have undergone too many changes to retain their original appeal, and after this point critical fans often sense a noticeable decline in the show's quality.

That exactly describes John McCain and his chances to become the 44th US President. He's making all kinds of mistakes, which people keep glossing over, but I'm positive that the American people will reject him.

I liked him in 2000 and I might have voted for him if he had been running vs. Al Gore, but the 2008 version has gone beyond his shelf life. The expiration date is long gone and if he was a can of pineapple, he would be ready to blow (I had that happen a few months ago and it's nasty) and leak all over the shelf.

John, my advice is to head back to Arizona and enjoy life with Cindy and have a beer before the Belgians mess it up.

Finding lost relatives

I've been doing a lot of Genealogy work and finding more about the Coates Family Tree lately. My Dad's 90th birthday is this year and we went over a whole bunch of old family photos that had no labels and put names to everyone.

Here is a link to the Coates/Bertelsen/Jansen family photo album.

This photo is of Thomas Coates b. 1847 in England taken in Oakland in 1885.

The most exciting thing is that I've found two "lost" 2nd cousins recently. I just got in contact with Barbara Astle, who is William Henry Coates' granddaughter. She's got a treasure trove of Coates family historical documents, including the family bible.

Landslide - 2008 Presidential Prediction

This 2008 Presidential election is going to be a landslide. No doubt with Obama at the top of the hill and McCain at the bottom in the debris pile.

All the current polls saying that it's a virtual tie between the two candidates is a bunch of baloney. Pollsters base their polls, questions and voter pool on the last election and that model is way whack!

I predict on June 9, 2008 that Obama will get at least 300 Electoral College votes and probably more like the 370 that Bill Clinton got in 1992.

All the talking heads on the cable news keep talking about "Will the Hillary voters vote for Obama?". They should be paying attention to the facts that 3 months after McCain wrapped up the GOP nomination, that Ron Paul was getting 20% plus in the primaries.

You've got a well known and respected Libertarian Party nominee in Bob Barr, ex-Congressman from Georgia and you are putting your head in the sand if you don't think that McCain is going to be losing votes to him in southern states like North Carolina and Georgia.

I heard that there are 600,000 unregistered African-American voters in Georgia and the Obama campaign has plenty of moola to get a big percentage of them as new voters in November. In 2004, John Kerry got 1.3 million votes in Georgia vs. Bush 1.8MM and in the 2008 Georgia primary, the total Democratic vote was over 1 million. I predict that Obama will get Georgia's 15 Electoral votes and if that happens, it's going to be a landslide.

I can't wait to see the Obama vs. McCain townhall debates. Watch them both speak. Obama is serious and McCain makes those weird sarcastic remarks and so-called jokes and gives us his crystal skull grin. It looks freaky. There is no way America is going to elect a skull as President.